THE FATE OF EMPIRES and SEARCH FOR SURVIVAL – Sir John Glubb

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May be an image of blueprint and text that says ‘The nation Assyria Persia Dates ofrise and Datesofriseandfall andfall fall 859-612 B.C. Duration in years (Cyrus and his descendants) 538-330 B.C. Greece 247 208 (Alexander and his successors) 331-100 B.C. Roman Republic 231 Roman Empire 260-27 B.C. Arab Empire 27 B.C.-A.D. 180 233 Mameluke Empire A.D. A.D.634-880 207 Ottoman Empire 1250-1517 Spain 246 267 1320-1570 Romanov Russia Britain 1500-1750 250 1682-1916 250 1700-1950 234 250’

THE FATE OF EMPIRES and SEARCH FOR SURVIVAL – Sir John Glubb

(The following is the closing summary of Glubb’s fine work.)

As numerous points of interest have arisen in the course of this essay, I close with a brief summary, to refresh the reader’s mind.

(a) We do not learn from history because our studies are brief and prejudiced.

(b) In a surprising manner, 250 years emerges as the average length of national greatness.

(c) This average has not varied for 3,000 years. Does it represent ten generations?

(d) The stages of the rise and fall of great nations seem to be: The Age of Pioneers (outburst), The Age of Conquests, The Age of Commerce, The Age of Affluence, The Age of Intellect, The Age of Decadence.

(e) Decadence is marked by: Defensiveness, Pessimism, Materialism, Frivolity, An influx of foreigners, The Welfare State, A weakening of religion.

(f) Decadence is due to: Too long a period of wealth and power, Selfishness, Love of money, The loss of a sense of duty.

(g) The life histories of great states are amazingly similar, and are due to internal factors.

(h) Their falls are diverse, because they are largely the result of external causes.

(i) History should be taught as the history of the human race, though of course with emphasis on the history of the student’s own country.

The entire essay may be read at http://people.uncw.edu/kozloffm/glubb.pdf